The latent crisis between Algiers and Abu Dhabi is now out in the open. This week, the X network (formerly Twitter) is flooded with hundreds of messages, oscillating between reproaches and hostilities, between Emirati internet users and, on the other side, Algerians or other nationalities defending Algiers’ position. The intensity of these less-than-cordial exchanges is...
Tag: geopolitics
The Middle East’s Oil Giants Have Entered the Critical Minerals Race
As the clean energy transition takes off, the region’s biggest players are making sure they have a seat at the table. Oil may be the lifeblood of many Middle Eastern economies, but some of the region’s biggest players are now setting their sights on another booming energy sector: critical minerals. Minerals such as lithium, cobalt,...
Sanctions, What Sanctions?
Last September, I had argued why “a war of arms and a peace of commerce cannot co-exist”. This is a follow up to that and events of the last 2 years sadly reinforce the point. With Russia’s GDP (troublingly) growing by 3.6% in 2023, Putin is overseeing the fastest-growing G7 economy with unemployment at an...
Why Russia Has Been So Resilient to Western Export Controls
Following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the United States imposed an unprecedented package of sanctions intended to make Russia pay a high economic cost for its aggression and to constrain the Russian military. U.S. President Joe Biden declared that Russia would “bear the consequences” for the invasion and emphasized that sanctions were designed to reverse Russia’s military modernization,...
The Future of Russian Energy Exports under Sanctions
Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, the European Union (EU) has pursued policies aimed at shifting its energy sources away from Russia. This has resulted in a decline in the bloc’s dependence on Russian energy. Meanwhile, Russia has focused on exporting oil and natural gas to regions outside the EU to maintain...
THE BATTLE OF THE TWO ROSES
11 March is the fated date on which Ofcom, the media regulatory body from the UK, will release the report concerning the desirability of the acquisition of The Daily Telegraph and The Spectator by an UAE investment fund. In the meantime, the debate between those against the buyout and those supporting it is shaping up...
Why Did the UAE Come to Assad’s Aid and Ease Syria’s Isolation?
While so much attention is focused on Israel’s war in Gaza and its shockwaves across the Middle East, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad’s government is steadily reintegrating into the Arab world, despite still being shunned by the West as a pariah. Since Syria made its full-fledged return to the Arab League in May 2023, when Assad...
The Telegraph and Putin
“In the war of propaganda, it is very difficult to defeat the United States because the United States controls all the world’s media and many European media. The ultimate beneficiaries of the biggest European media are American financial institutions.” This is an excerpt from this week’s Tucker Carlson rather tepid interview with Vladimir Putin and...
The Hidden Rivalry of Saudi Arabia and the UAE
The two countries look like allies—but are increasingly regional competitors. The Israel-Hamas war unfolded amid an apparent regional trend of peaceful coexistence. The Middle East’s transformation along these lines has been represented by the seemingly ever-closer alliance between Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, as symbolized by the apparent friendship between their respective de...
Russia’s Iran-UAE balancing act in the Gulf islands dispute
Having repeatedly sided with the United Arab Emirates (UAE) over Iran in a long-standing dispute regarding three Gulf islands, Moscow appears to be risking its ties with Tehran. The Greater Tunb, Lesser Tunb, and Abu Musa islands in the Strait of Hormuz were taken over by Iran in 1971 after British forces withdrew from the UAE following the country’s...